Overview: In 2019 warm equatorial waters were fading, and by August a tongue of cool water was tracking west on the equator from Ecuador over the Galapagos reaching to a point nearly south of Hawaii. Something to monitor. The 28 deg isotherm line was steady at 179E. 16. Within 5 nm of N wind 20 to 25 kteasing to 10 to 15 kt in the Conditions still dont look favorable but that could change. Long Range Forecast Mostly the same story as of late. SW wind 10 kt. Still it will take some time for the atmosphere to fully respond, resulting in a less than normal swell production forecast especially for Fall into early Winter. Wind Thursday the 4th looks about waist high everywhere, but with NW ground swell filling in, running up to chest high later in the day at west facing spots. LONG-RANGE PACIFIC STORM AND SWELL GENERATION POTENTIAL FORECAST. Cold water in that area has a dampening effect. On Thurs AM (5/4) southwest winds to be fading from 35-40 kts with seas 26 ft at 40S 132W aimed northeast. Mixed swell W No cool anomalies were indicated. Fetch was fading in the evening from 35-40 kts from the south with seas 34 ft at 55S 145.5W aimed northeast. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. A south wind is expected in the morning across OC and San Diego, but it could be manageable. Gidy - Wikipedia Cooler than normal waters were also south of that line down to 20S though losing coverage and intensity. Unfortunately again, most mornings do look to start out with some onshore southerly wind. afternoon. Stormsurf Video Surf Forecast for this week. The 26 degree isotherm has pushed the whole way across the Pacific and getting deeper with pockets of 28 degs temps on the surface. SYNOPSIS FOR THE SOUTHERN OREGON COASTAL WATERS. In the evening 40 kt northwest winds are to be building off the Pacific Northwest with 27 ft seas at 43.5N 137.75.5W aimed east. Total snow accumulation for the next 10 days respectively for Squaw Valley, Sugar Bowl, Kirkwood and Mammoth at 0, 0, 0, and 0 inches. Surface Analysis
Swell should drop to chest max with fewer pluses Sunday the 7th and then fade Monday the 8th (waist to chest). Please enable JavaScript to access the following map views: All map types that you can enable here: Pacific-Ocean Colour Basemap, Greyscale Basemap, Precipitation, Pacific-Ocean Wind, Temperature, Cloud, Pacific-Ocean Significant Ocean Wave Height. Stormsurf Video Surf Forecast for this week. 5 to 7 ft. Analysis (TAO Buoys): As of (4/29) 5 day average winds were moderate from the east over the East equatorial Pacific and moderate east over the Central Pacific and moderate east over the KWGA. All content remains copyright of Wavetrak Limited unless stated otherwise, we'd kindly ask that you don't reproduce it in any form without our permission. W swell 8 ft at 11 seconds. Swell Direction: 302 degrees. Something to monitor. IRI Consensus Plume: The Feb 18, 2022 Plume depicts temps are -0.704 degs today and have bottomed out. 34.6 N / -76.2 . Summary - Cool subsurface water volume peaked under the equatorial Pacific on 10/15/21, beating last years volume, but is quickly fading at the surface in the East Equatorial Pacific. The pattern of adding energy to the warm surface pool has restarted. Cold water in that area has a dampening effect. All the while, marine layer will be thick from a heavy onshore flow and very moist air. Waikiki Surf Forecast | 16-Day Extended Surf Forecast for - DeepSwell The 24 deg isotherm was easing east to 95W. Current Conditions
On Fri AM (4/28) west winds were 40 kts about half way to the dateline with seas 31 ft at 43.5N 162.75E aimed east. waves 2 ft or less. Sea temperatures vary from north to south, though not by much, with a high and low peaks of 23-29C or 73-84F. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Global-Pacific Surf Map - Wind and Wave forecasts Rain. On Thursday (2/24) North and Central CA had set waves at chest high on the sets and fairly clean and lined up but still with some warble in the water. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Saturday the 13th into Sunday the 14th will likely see the next southern hemi ground swell fill inmore on that in my next report. NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Pacific Beach (PB) Surf Forecast | 16-Day Extended Surf - DeepSwell A slow dissolving of La Nina started in March 2021 with 2 Kelvin Waves sweeping east and arriving over the Galapagos in June. veering to W in the eveningbacking to SW after midnight. Major Global Weather Pattern Change Occurring - El Nino Developing
TUE NIGHT See chart here - link. Summer - Chest to head high. The hi-res GODAS animation posted 2/17 indicates a Kelvin Wave pushing east with 2-3 degs warm anomalies with its eastern edge at 95W with only a tiny pocket of cool anomalies at -3 degs C 25 meters down and pushing to the surface at 95W while rapidly fading in coverage. sgi_tile=1;
Swell holding Sat (5/6) at 2.1 ft @ 16 secs (3.0-3.5 ft). A gale started developing east of New Zealand on Thurs AM (4/27) with 35-40+ kt south winds and seas 30 ft at 48S 166.25W aimed northeast. This is increasing the onshore flow, and we continue to have a strong thermal inversion over SoCal. No tropical systems of interest are being monitored at this time. The gale to dissipate after that. Sailing Weather - Marine Weather Forecasts for Sailors and Adventurers Nino1.2 Daily CDAS Index Temps: (4/30) (These temps are biased high by about 0.2 degs compared to official sources). But weaker residual cool waters were still covering a large area from Peru up to the equator and west to 140W and weaker to the dateline. In the evening residual west fetch at 30-35 kts was producing 23 ft seas at 52N 165W. Probably the best day to target throughout the forecast. Swell building Tues (5/2) into the mid-afternoon at 3.8 ft @ 14-15 secs (5.5 ft). By Nathan Cool. 218 AM PDT Mon May 1 2023, SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. The south swell is expected to be pretty much down to leftovers and some small NW windswell should be mixing in. Tonight: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. A stronger than expected Active Phase of the MJO in Dec has produced a Kelvin Wave that is plodding east through the Central Pacific. midnight. long range south pacific swell forecast - CleanWorld Swell NW Swell fading on Tues (3/1) from 6.4 ft @ 15 secs early (9.5 ft). Warm temps continued west from there on the equator across the dateline and beyond. And the El Nino/La Nino cycle (collectively know as ENSO - El Nino Southern Oscillation) is a less frequent (about once every 7 years) but more impactful cycle that affects world wide weather. Waters from Florence to Cape Blanco OR from 10 to 60 nm Northern US in store for show from the northern lights - New York Post The swell pattern will be below normal before Jan and above normal after Jan 23 with the average of the two being 'normal'. Almost every morning looks to be the cleanest window of the day, so keep that in mind if youre trying to plan a surf. In the evening fetch was fading from 30 kts approaching the dateline with seas 29 ft near at 40N 173E. A geomagnetic storm has the potential to produce aurora borealis over the Northern Hemisphere from Sunday evening into Monday morning, with some states along the US-Canadian border . Overview
Local Interest
Down south a small gale developed east of New Zealand pushing northeast Thurs-Sat (4/29) producing up to 37 ft seas aimed well north. The South Shore had sets at waist high and lined up and clean with decent form. Low odds of any meaningful swell resulting. During the Active Phase in the Pacific the MJO tends to support the formation of stronger and longer lasting gales resulting in enhanced potential for the formation of swell producing storms. Slight chance of showers. South Orange County's best summertime breaks were thigh high and somewhat lined up and weak with texture on it. Our Weather Data Wind waves 2 ft or less. Easing swells this week. Oahu: Expect swell arrival on Wed (5/3) early with period 18 secs building to 2.5 ft @ 16-17 secs later in the day (4.0 ft). Anomaly wise, warm anomalies +2 deg C were steady filling the entire subsurface equatorial Pacific. Still some fun sized surf out there as that south swell eases and hangs in there, and more short-period NW swell shows. That trough is to push east of the Southern CA swell window while fading on Sun (5/7). 6 to 7 ft. The PDO theoretically turned from a 16 year negative run (Jan 98-Feb 2014) in early 2014 and was positive till Dec 2019, but has been negative ever since, driven by recent La Nina conditions. The trend of late has been towards positive readings. Thursday looks similar with southerlies dominant. Over the next 72 hours the jet is to continue marching east reaching 135W on Sun (2/27) or 600 nmiles west of Central CA with winds fading slowly to the 160 kt range but still with no troughs but still offering some support for gale development based on wind speeds alone. Hawaii's North Shore had sets at waist to chest high on the sets and clean and lined up but inconsistent and weak. WaveCast - SoCal NW ground swell increases Monday with a mix of wind swell, lasting for a couple days. . In turn the Active Phase strengthens and the Inactive Phase weakens the jetstream, which in turn enhances or dampens storm production respectively in the Pacific.And the El Nino/La Nino cycle (collectively know as ENSO - El Nino Southern Oscillation) is a less frequent (about once every 7 years) but more impactful cycle that affects world wide weather. SUN SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Swell W 8 to 9 ft at 10 seconds. Specifically, strong El Nino events promote storm production in the Pacific while La Nina events suppress storm production. But a quick fade is forecast as we move into late December with the CFS predicting a return to a neutral wind anomaly pattern at that time and the low pressure bias making headway in to the KWGA in early Jan. Elevation. "Rpertoire national des lus: les maires", The National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Gidy&oldid=1063140933, Short description is different from Wikidata, Pages using infobox settlement with image map1 but not image map, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 1 January 2022, at 13:31. becoming 3 ft in the afternoon. http://www.bloomberg.com/video/how-to-predict-the-best-surfing-waves-EsNiR~0xR5yXGOlOq2MqfA.html
The High Seas Forecast for the South Pacific - National Weather Service